A Spreadsheet For Guesswork
<html> <p>Ever wish you could guess more precisely? Or maybe just make your guesses look confusingly legitimate? <a href=„https://github.com/getguesstimate/guesstimate-app“ target=„_blank“>Guesstimate could help</a>.</p> <p>It uses <a href=„http://hackaday.com/2015/09/11/fermiac-the-computer-that-advanced-the-manhattan-project/“>Monte Carlo</a> simulations to add some legitimacy to the ranges given to it. For example, if you say the cost of lumber for your next project could be between 2 and 8 dollars a piece, you don’t typically mean that it’s equally likely to be any of those numbers. Most people mean that the boards are most likely to be around 3-5 dollars and everything lower or higher is less probable. Using different shaped distributions, Guesstimate can help include this discrepancy of thought into your pseudo-calculations.</p> <p>It’s a neat bit of code with a nice interface. There is a commercial side to the project for those who want to collaborate openly or pay someone to host it privately. It has a <a href=„https://www.getguesstimate.com/models“ target=„_blank“>few neat example models for those interested</a>.</p> <p>Does anyone use anything like this in their daily lives? Is there another similar project out there? This kind of thing is pretty cool!</p> </html>
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